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Economy

Coverage of the economy, markets, industry, labor, trade, and financial policy across Korea and the global economy.

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Reporting and analysis from Breeze in Busan

Desk Focus

This desk follows markets, labor, inflation, investment, and policy shifts shaping Busan and the wider Korean economy.

Korea’s Interest Rate Cuts: Bold Move or Risky Gamble?
EconomyNov 30, 2024

Korea’s Interest Rate Cuts: Bold Move or Risky Gamble?

Seoul, South Korea - In a surprising turn, the Bank of Korea (BOK) recently reduced its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points for the second month in a row, bringing it to 3.0% from 3.25%. This move marks the first consecutive rate cut since the 2008 global financial crisis. The decision reflects growing concerns over Korea’s sluggish economy and underscores the urgency to stimulate domestic demand and avert further economic decline. However, this bold policy shift raises pressing qu

South Korea’s Retail Sales Slump and Elderly Labor Surge
EconomyNov 20, 2024

South Korea’s Retail Sales Slump and Elderly Labor Surge

Imagine an economy where spending stalls for nearly three years, and the fastest-growing workforce is retirees forced to return to jobs. This is not a hypothetical scenario but the reality in South Korea today. A historic 10-quarter decline in retail sales has left small businesses struggling, while the government celebrates a record-high employment rate—driven largely by elderly workers unable to retire due to financial insecurity. Official narratives proclaim recovery, citing GDP growth and

Global Rate Cuts and South Korea’s Economic Challeng
EconomyNov 8, 2024

Global Rate Cuts and South Korea’s Economic Challeng

In response to evolving global economic conditions, central banks worldwide have recently implemented interest rate reductions aimed at sustaining economic growth and stabilizing inflation. The U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Korea have each taken notable actions, though with different economic considerations and results. This analysis delves into the impacts of these policies, with particular focus on South Korea’s unique economic landscape and the challenges arising

How the U.S. Fed’s 2024 Rate Cut Affects South Korea’s Economy
EconomySep 19, 2024

How the U.S. Fed’s 2024 Rate Cut Affects South Korea’s Economy

In September 2024, the U.S. Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by 50 basis points, marking its first rate reduction in four years. The Fed’s decision, aimed at stabilizing inflation and addressing rising unemployment, is part of an ongoing effort to stimulate the U.S. economy amidst cooling price increases. However, this policy shift is having significant ripple effects globally, especially in economies like South Korea, which now faces critical decisions about its own monetary strategy. Th

Is South Korea Facing a Prolonged Recession? 
EconomyAug 28, 2024

Is South Korea Facing a Prolonged Recession? 

As South Korea grapples with rising inflation and a slowing economy, signs are emerging that the nation may be on the cusp of a prolonged economic downturn. Nowhere is this more evident than in the restaurant industry, where closures have surged, and businesses struggle to stay afloat. The once-thriving sector, which had been a cornerstone of the country's vibrant social life, is now shrinking under the weight of increased operational costs and shifting consumer behaviors. Recent data reveals a

Bank of Korea Holds Interest Rate at 3.50%, Signals October Cut
EconomyAug 23, 2024

Bank of Korea Holds Interest Rate at 3.50%, Signals October Cut

Seoul, South Korea - The Bank of Korea (BOK) has once again opted to maintain its key interest rate at 3.50%, a decision that marks the 13th consecutive rate hold since early 2023. This cautious approach comes amidst a backdrop of easing inflation, persistent household debt, and modest economic growth. As the BOK signals a potential rate cut in the near future, possibly as early as October, the implications for South Korea’s economy and its citizens are profound. The BOK's decision to keep the

U.S. Recession Fears Rise as Sahm Rule Signals Economic Concerns
EconomyAug 7, 2024

U.S. Recession Fears Rise as Sahm Rule Signals Economic Concerns

Amidst increasing signs of economic slowdown, the United States faces rising fears of a recession. The activation of the Sahm Rule, an indicator of economic downturns, has intensified scrutiny from economists and policymakers. The potential implications of this economic uncertainty are far-reaching, notably affecting South Korea, a significant trading partner of the U.S. Recent economic data from the U.S. show troubling signs. In July 2024, the economy added just 114,000 jobs, while the unemplo

Adapting to Change in Busan's Retail Industry and Self-Employment Crisis
EconomyJul 18, 2024

Adapting to Change in Busan's Retail Industry and Self-Employment Crisis

Busan, a city known for its energetic commerce and bustling local businesses, is undergoing a significant transformation. The Covid-19 pandemic has accelerated a shift towards online shopping, leading to the closure of numerous major retail outlets and a dramatic decline in self-employment. Recent statistics underscore a deepening 'self-employment crisis,' rooted in stagnant household wage income and the burdensome repayment of household debt, which has resulted in prolonged sluggishness in dome

Rising Trend of Unsold Completed Homes in South Korea
EconomyJun 28, 2024

Rising Trend of Unsold Completed Homes in South Korea

The South Korean housing market is facing a significant challenge with the continuous increase of unsold completed homes, commonly referred to as "malicious unsold homes." These properties, which remain unsold despite being fully constructed, have been on an upward trend for the past ten months, creating considerable burdens for the construction industry. According to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport's May housing statistics, there were 13,230 unsold completed homes across th

Japan's Economic Shift: Deflation to Digital
EconomyJun 16, 2024

Japan's Economic Shift: Deflation to Digital

In a landmark shift from its longstanding economic policy, Japan's central bank has recently ended its era of negative interest rates, a policy that had been in place since 2016. This change marks a pivotal moment for Japan as it grapples with various economic challenges, from wage stagnation to a weakening yen. The Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) decision to raise short-term interest rates to 0-0.1% aims to stimulate growth and stabilize the economy. However, this move brings with it a complex array of i

South Korea Faces Persistent High Inflation Amid Climate Change
EconomyApr 19, 2024

South Korea Faces Persistent High Inflation Amid Climate Change

Seoul, South Korea — South Korea is grappling with the prospect of entrenched high inflation, driven not just by temporary economic pressures but by a deepening structural crisis exacerbated by climate change. The government's optimistic forecast for inflation stabilization appears increasingly out of reach as consumer prices continue to rise. The Korean economy faces a perfect storm of high exchange rates and interest rates, pushing up production costs and fueling inflation. Despite government

South Korea's Struggle for Economic Stability
EconomyApr 17, 2024

South Korea's Struggle for Economic Stability

In recent weeks, South Korea's economic landscape has been marked by a significant uptick in volatility, driven by a combination of external geopolitical tensions and internal economic indicators. The Won-Dollar exchange rate recently surged, touching the 1,400 KRW mark for the first time in nearly 17 months, a level not seen since the tumultuous days following the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate hikes in November 2022. This economic indicator is crucial as it reflects broader global influences, inc

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